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Archive for the ‘baseball betting’ Category

MLB System Records $24,680 in Profits

Thursday, July 21st, 2011

If you want to win a lot of money betting on MLB baseball you need to continue reading…

I am going to share with you how by just checking your emails daily you could have profited $24,680 so far this MLB season.

My friend Kevin is a professional MLB bettor, and is sending out his plays via email to all clients for free.  His best picks are called “5 Star” picks which are also sent via email.

Imagine being able to wake up, check your email inbox, find an email from a professional bettor, place the wagers, and collect your money at the end of the week.

It is awesome – basically like printing money!

If you had followed this system you would have won the following:

If you placed $100 on each unit you would be up $2,468 (pure profits)

If you placed $1,000 on each unit you would be up $24,680 (pure profits)!!!

Click here to get the system picks now

And it doesn’t require any work on your end – just check your email and place your wagers!

Kevin has thousands of people following him and his picks, and we all love the guy.  He sends out winning picks and has made me a TON of money over the past year.  He is an honest and straight up guy – which is something pretty rare in the sports betting world.

Records and picks are all posted for you to see – and you will be able to verify the record by asking anyone in his Facebook group that will gladly tell you along with me how much money they’ve won.

Click here to visit his site and get the system plays

If giving winning picks and winning you money wasn’t enough, he also sends out full write ups with each play.  This includes his insights and reasoning behind his play, which will also make you a sharper bettor.  Nothing is better than getting inside the head of a winning handicapper.

Think about it.  $24,680 in pure profits if you followed each play for the big boys.  Even if you aren’t betting a lot of money you are still getting roughly a 25% ROI on your money.

In the stock world a 10% ROI on the year is a success.  With this sports betting system you are getting a 25% ROI in half the time.  It is a no brainer.

Visit him at MLBPredictions.org to get the system picks now.  You don’t want to miss out.

Opening Day MLB Runline Plays

Sunday, April 5th, 2009

Opening night baseball on ESPN tonight at 8:05 PM EST.  The Phillies are playing the Braves.

Over at our live run lines page< you can see the runline is now Philidelphia Phillies -1.5 +168 or Atlanta Braves +1.5 - 180 at 5dimes sportsbook.  By the way, 5dimes is currently offering a 50% sign up bonus with a max bonus of $200. If you don’t have the $200, a cheap cash advance is available conveniently online.


Bet at 5Dimes

No runline system play tonight, as the line is set very close to my system line.  This happens a lot on days where there is only a few games.  I like the Braves to win outright tonight(and the over), but -180 is too steep a price to have to pay for the run and a half.

March 5th - No Picks

Tonight I will be posting opening day baseball runline picks for tomorrow, March 6th.

Preparing for the 2009 MLB Baseball season

Friday, April 3rd, 2009

With the season starting in a couple of days, a breakdown of run line betting and a recap of the 2008 MLB baseball season in terms of runline betting is in order.

To those new to the site or new to run line betting, a runline is a type of baseball bet.  Baseball bets usually come in 3 different types:

  • Run Line - the run line is kind of like a football betting line, only in baseball games the line is always -1.5 for the straight up favorite, +1.5 for the straight up underdog.
  • Money Line - the baseball money line bet is simply a bet on who will win the game.
  • Over/Under - the over/under bet is a bet on how many runs both teams will score combined.  This is often called a total as well.

Run Lines have gotten popular as a way to bet heavy favorites without having to risk large amounts of money.  It is not uncommon to see the Boston Red Sox or the New York Yankees favored in the -200 to -300 range for a money line bet.  At -300, you would have to wager $300 to win $100.

Here is an example of the relationship between the run line and money line.  The last game of the World Series had a money line of

Philadelphia Phillies -165
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +155

and a run line of

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +120
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +1.5 -140

So, betting on the Phillies to win straight up, you have to wager $165 to win $100.  Betting on the Phillies to win by 1.5 runs (by 2 runs or more since there is no .5 run in a baseball game), you have to wager $100 to win $120.

The Phillies won the game 4-3, so the money line bet on the Phillies was a winner, but a run line bet on the Phillies was a loser as they only won by a run.  Tampa Bay +1.5 is a winner as they lost by 1.

A couple of things to mention to new baseball bettors with this example in mind:

  • You can see the juice or the vig or whatever you want to call the sportsbooks way to make money with both of these lines.  If their was no juice you would see +165/-165 line on the money line.  But, there is a $10 difference between the two.  This is often called a “10 cent” line.
  • You can see a $20 difference in the run line (-140/+120), and this is usually the norm that runlines have “20 cent” lines.
  • Often times the underdog in a straight up line becomes the “favorite” in the runline, as seen by our example.

The stats below show the baseball teams records against the run line.  Wins and Losses are against the run line.  “$ On” indicates the amount you would be up or down if you bet $100 to win $xxx or $xxx to win $100, depending on if they were the favorite or the underdog.  Conversly, “$ Against” indicates if you were to bet against that team every run line game.

2008 Run Line Records

Anything stand out here?  Teams in bold made the playoffs, and I would assume that most of them would be on the top half of this chart.  The Twins, Astros, Cardinals, and Marlins are a little surprising to me to be up that high. The Dodgers, Brewers, and Phillies being so low is very surprising.

2008 Run Line Records

Remember that home teams are generally going to be favored and giving -1.5 in exchange for +xxx odds.  The Twins were very good at covering the spread as a home team, which is why they were so high up on the main chart.  Also notice that 14 of the 30 teams showed a positive return for all games.

Run Line records for away teams

Remember here that road teams often are getting the extra 1.5 runs, but in exchange have to put up greater odds to get them.  That is why the $ on category is so different for similar records between home and away.  Also notice that only 8 teams showed a positive return on betting all road games.

That’s it for now.  See you Sunday for opening day.