When the postseason arrives in Major League Baseball everyone is excited about betting the playoffs. MLB playoff betting is different from the regular season and presents us with some different betting opportunities. I’ll go over some things that relate to MLB playoff betting and give you a few ideas to make baseball betting more profitable.
The first major difference when betting the MLB playoffs versus the regular season is the amount of games. The regular season has three or four game series while the MLB playoffs have best of five games in the division series, and best of seven games for the league championship and World Series. Our first option is to bet on a team to win the best of five or best of seven series. We don’t usually get that option during the regular season and it gives us something different in the MLB playoffs. Instead of having to risk money on a day-by-day basis we can just play our team once and hope they win the series. This way we don’t have to bet every game and we don’t risk nearly as much money. For example, let’s say we like the Tigers over the Orioles in a best of five series. It might look like this when the line opened.
We could risk 100 dollars to win 150 on Baltimore. Betting on the MLB playoffs series prices also can give us hedging opportunities. Let’s say the Orioles win the first two games of the best of five series. An updated series price will be put out making the Orioles perhaps a -250 favorite and the Tigers now +200. We could take the Tigers and guarantee ourselves a profit no matter which team won the series. MLB playoff series bets are something to keep an eye on and to profit from when we get the opportunity.
Another opportunity that presents itself when betting MLB playoff action is taking the losing team in the next game. It is just like the zig-zag theory in the NBA. It is a bit different because we have moneylines in baseball instead of pointspreads. If a favored team is coming off a loss in the MLB playoffs we might be asked to lay -200 or more in the next game. That can get a little pricey but usually the favored team is a good bet to bounce back with a win after a loss. It is even better if they have a top-notch pitcher going for them after that loss.
A couple of other things to keep in mind when betting the MLB playoffs are starting pitchers and home field advantage. Starting pitchers are pretty self-explanatory and the statistics you use to handicap them don’t change much for the playoffs. Home field advantage though is something to keep in mind for the playoffs. Very often the advantage is overpriced. Home teams are really given far too much respect when it comes to the playoffs. Last year in the National League Championship Series the road team was 5-2 for a very healthy profit. The American League Championship Series was a winner too as road teams went 4-3. Even the World Series proved profitable as road teams won three and lost three. Too much of an advantage is given to the home team in the MLB playoffs, so when you begin your handicapping start by looking at the road team.
When the MLB playoffs begin we can usually throw out the regular season results. So often the team with the worst record wins the matchup. The public loves to bet favorites in all sports, and baseball is no exception. Since we don’t have a pointspread in baseball the linemakers have to raise the moneyline on the marquee teams and marquee pitchers. It only takes one loss at -200 or more to really make it tough to have a winning playoff season. Check the Bovada NFL lines to see the current odds available. I am one that likes to play favorites sometimes in baseball but I am much more leery of doing so when playoff time arrives.
As you look to bet the MLB playoffs first look to the road team and then look to the underdog. If you can’t make a case for them then it is probably a good game to pass on. Sometimes you will really like a strong favorite but you need to have a lot of positives going for you, and preferably have your team coming off a loss. Whatever you bet in the MLB playoffs let’s hope these tips prove helpful and that your wagers prove to be profitable.